Allure of the Unknown - Introducing Hipster Dragon Highlander

by
MtGDS
MtGDS
Allure of the Unknown - Introducing Hipster Dragon Highlander
(Stirring Bard | Art by Raluca Marinescu)

Hipster Quotient

One of the difficulties Magic R&D faces when designing cards is the tension between making powerful, exciting, and playable cards, and the possibility of making cards too good, too flexible, and too generically powerful. You may recall the recent critique of Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines.

"As we on the Rules Committee (RC) have repeated with some frequency, we believe cards being generically good is a net negative for the format. While it can allow deckbuilders, as I mention above, to explore multiple different types of strategic or thematic lines, the flip side to being generically good means it introduces a sameness to many of our games.

The mechanical upside of being generically good is efficiency. That costs us in other ways. Once we get to the point of, “If you’re playing white, there’s no reason to avoid playing Elesh Norn, Mother of Machines” (or insert card name), we’ve reduced our effective deck size by one more card. When twenty or more of our cards have been decided before we actually start building the deck, we’ve headed in a dangerous direction. We’ve sacrificed creativity on the altar of efficiency. That’s good in formats which privilege the mechanical. It’s a contrarian position in Commander."

~ Sheldon Menery, on Elesh Norn

To the extent that EDH is a format with one commander, one Sol Ring, and 98 other cards, it reduces the heterogeneity that can make the format so appealing. The EDHREC Top Cards page lists format staples, the top 100 most-played cards each appear in (about) 1/6th or more of eligible decks. To some extent, this is just a matter of probabilities - some cards are always going to be more played than others - but as time and set releases progress, and power creep inexorably advances, the number of auto-includes in a given color combination will only tend to increase.

To that end, I propose a voluntary deckbuilding restriction/metric that I'll call the Hipster Quotient. There are many different reasonable ways of approaching the same concept, but I'll suggest the following:

A deck's Hipster Quotient is the sum of the proportion of all recorded EDH decks in which its constituent cards (excluding basic lands) appear.

So, consider Sheldon Menery's Phelddagrif deck recorded at Archidekt, here. Sol Ring appears in about 83.7% of all current EDHREC decks; Reliquary Tower in 27.2%, Swords to Plowshares 25.8%, etc. So, that deck's Hipster Quotient is 83.7% + 27.2% + 25.8% ... + 0.0% (Equal Treatment), which comes to 457%.


Do It Yourself

How can you calculate this for yourself? One option would be to use EDHREC to find the number of decks in which each card in your deck appears, then divide each of those by the total number of decks on EDHREC (almost 1.9 million as of today), then sum those percentages.

OR, you could use the Hipster Dragon Highlander App that I built!

I hope it's fairly self-explanatory, but you can input your decklist by URL (Moxfield or Archidekt) or by manually pasting the decklist, one line per card, along with the commander. Then hit the Update button, and your deck's Hipster Quotient will be calculated and presented.

You can take a screenshot of the "Hero Image" of your commander's illustration superimposed with your "MTGDS Certified" Hipster Quotient, and present that to your opponents as verification of your deck's relative ubiquity or obscurity.

Evidence that my Hapax Imoti deck, with Keruga as a Companion, is indeed quite hip.

One idea is to agree with your playgroup to a HipQ cap, build decks that fit under that cap, and play games on equally obscure footing. If you want essentially no cap, 1500% should be sufficient; if you want moderately hip decks, I'd suggest something like 500%. If you want something truly obscure, try 150%: you'll likely see a bunch of cards you've never seen at the table before!

For reference, I looked at a large sample of decks in the EDHREC database, and found the following Hipster Quotient percentile values:

hipq
0% 0.0
1% 65.3
2% 99.0
3% 125.7
4% 148.8
5% 169.0
10% 237.2
20% 317.7
25% 347.2
30% 373.3
40% 419.7
50% 462.8
60% 504.0
70% 547.3
75% 571.1
80% 596.9
90% 663.9
95% 719.0
96% 734.2
97% 752.7
98% 777.2
99% 811.5
100% 1439.0

Obscura Charm

You might naturally wonder which commanders lend themselves least and most easily to building in a hip way? Well, here are the ten least-hip commanders, by their average decklist:

commander ubiquity ubiq_cards hip_cards
704 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Cyclonic Rift
Rhystic Study
Demonic Tutor
Misty Rainforest
Verdant Catacombs
Watery Grave
Polluted Delta
Breeding Pool
Swords to Plowshares
Birds of Paradise
Mana Crypt
Breeding Pool
Misty Rainforest
Birds of Paradise
Watery Grave
Verdant Catacombs
Overgrown Tomb
Polluted Delta
Swan Song
Demonic Tutor
Rhystic Study
Mystic Remora
Scalding Tarn
Mystical Tutor
Fierce Guardianship
Wooded Foothills
692 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Fellwar Stone
Rhystic Study
Cyclonic Rift
Demonic Tutor
Scalding Tarn
Polluted Delta
Watery Grave
Mana Crypt
Swords to Plowshares
Misty Rainforest
Bloodstained Mire
Steam Vents
Scalding Tarn
Mystic Remora
Watery Grave
Rhystic Study
Polluted Delta
Dockside Extortionist
Swan Song
Mystical Tutor
Bloodstained Mire
Fierce Guardianship
Underworld Breach
Flooded Strand
Force of Will
Arid Mesa
651 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Demonic Tutor
Cyclonic Rift
Mana Crypt
Rhystic Study
Verdant Catacombs
Polluted Delta
Vampiric Tutor
Marsh Flats
Watery Grave
Misty Rainforest
Dark Ritual
Demonic Tutor
Vampiric Tutor
Dark Ritual
Verdant Catacombs
Opposition Agent
Polluted Delta
Mana Crypt
Breeding Pool
Overgrown Tomb
Chrome Mox
Watery Grave
Jeweled Lotus
Diabolic Intent
Marsh Flats
Mana Vault
648 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Swords to Plowshares
Lightning Greaves
Cyclonic Rift
Demonic Tutor
Rhystic Study
Cultivate
Misty Rainforest
Marsh Flats
Verdant Catacombs
Birds of Paradise
Arid Mesa
Mindblade Render
Derevi, Empyrial Tactician
Druids' Repository
Exotic Orchard
Birds of Paradise
Breeding Pool
Overgrown Tomb
Windswept Heath
Arid Mesa
Wooded Foothills
Marsh Flats
Champion of Lambholt
Noble Hierarch
Stomping Ground
Verdant Catacombs
648 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Cyclonic Rift
Rhystic Study
Fellwar Stone
Mana Crypt
Counterspell
Polluted Delta
Brainstorm
Scalding Tarn
Misty Rainforest
Demonic Tutor
Ancient Tomb
Glint-Horn Buccaneer
Mystic Remora
Rhystic Study
Swan Song
Mystical Tutor
Fierce Guardianship
Cyclonic Rift
Lotus Petal
Scalding Tarn
Polluted Delta
Pact of Negation
Flusterstorm
Mental Misstep
Chrome Mox
Force of Will
646 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Counterspell
Cyclonic Rift
Beast Within
Watery Grave
Demonic Tutor
Fellwar Stone
Rhystic Study
Overgrown Tomb
Misty Rainforest
Verdant Catacombs
Breeding Pool
Overgrown Tomb
Watery Grave
Breeding Pool
Seedborn Muse
Deathrite Shaman
Verdant Catacombs
Misty Rainforest
Polluted Delta
Assassin's Trophy
Neoform
Birds of Paradise
Windfall
Demonic Tutor
Abrupt Decay
Mystic Remora
636 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Counterspell
Brainstorm
Fellwar Stone
Reliquary Tower
Cyclonic Rift
Demonic Tutor
Watery Grave
Rhystic Study
Dark Ritual
Steam Vents
Blood Crypt
Dark Ritual
Brainstorm
Steam Vents
Talisman of Creativity
Ponder
Windfall
Watery Grave
Dimir Signet
Preordain
Blood Crypt
Izzet Signet
Faithless Looting
Talisman of Dominance
Mystical Tutor
Frantic Search
625 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Swords to Plowshares
Fellwar Stone
Counterspell
Rhystic Study
Cyclonic Rift
Swiftfoot Boots
Hallowed Fountain
Lightning Greaves
Path to Exile
Flooded Strand
Brainstorm
Hallowed Fountain
Swords to Plowshares
Rhystic Study
Exotic Orchard
Flooded Strand
Mystic Remora
Cyclonic Rift
Esper Sentinel
Dovin's Veto
Sea of Clouds
Fellwar Stone
Swan Song
Arid Mesa
Fierce Guardianship
Scalding Tarn
625 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Cultivate
Lightning Greaves
Beast Within
Counterspell
Swiftfoot Boots
Rampant Growth
Brainstorm
Farseek
Rogue's Passage
Kodama's Reach
Evolving Wilds
Brainstorm
Memory Lapse
Growth Spiral
Aqueous Form
Stomping Ground
Explore
Farseek
Steam Vents
Cultivate
Exotic Orchard
Rampant Growth
Breeding Pool
Frontier Bivouac
Beast Within
Yavimaya Coast
620 Sol Ring
Command Tower
Arcane Signet
Exotic Orchard
Swords to Plowshares
Reliquary Tower
Smothering Tithe
Skullclamp
Evolving Wilds
Mind Stone
Lightning Greaves
Fellwar Stone
Watery Grave
Path of Ancestry
Counterspell
Talisman of Progress
Talisman of Dominance
Talisman of Hierarchy
Swords to Plowshares
Smothering Tithe
Ultramarines Honour Guard
Space Marine Devastator
Nadir Kraken
Arcane Sanctum
Commissar Severina Raine
Company Commander
Vexilus Praetor
Skullclamp
The Golden Throne
Prairie Stream

The "ubiquity" column is that commander's mean Hipster Quotient %; ubiq_cards are the most-played × most-ubiquitous cards for that commander, and hip_cards are the most-played × least-ubiquitous cards for that commander. In general, the ubiq_cards lists are not very interesting.

On this unhip list, even the hip_cards are themselves not that hip. Lots of lands, ramp, tutors, and staples. Things get more interesting when we look at more hip/obscure/unique commanders:

commander ubiquity ubiq_cards hip_cards
113 Sol Ring
Arcane Signet
Arid Mesa
Scalding Tarn
Wooded Foothills
Skullclamp
Bloodstained Mire
Lightning Bolt
Chaos Warp
Swiftfoot Boots
Abrade
Prismatic Vista
Blasphemous Act
Myriad Landscape
Mind Stone
Lightning Bolt
Monastery Swiftspear
Lightning Strike
Light Up the Stage
Incinerate
Chain Lightning
Bonecrusher Giant
Loyal Apprentice
Ramunap Ruins
Castle Embereth
Searing Spear
Goblin Guide
Burst Lightning
Bomat Courier
Fiery Confluence
169 Sol Ring
Cultivate
Reliquary Tower
Beast Within
Kodama's Reach
Eternal Witness
Harmonize
Thought Vessel
Heroic Intervention
Myriad Landscape
Sylvan Library
Krosan Grip
Reclamation Sage
Nature's Claim
Rampant Growth
Journey of Discovery
Abundance
Yavimaya Elder
Seek the Horizon
Sprouting Vines
Nissa's Pilgrimage
Nissa's Triumph
Harmonize
Nylea's Intervention
Hydra Broodmaster
Rites of Spring
Armillary Sphere
Gaea's Bounty
Dryad Greenseeker
Helix Pinnacle
188 Sol Ring
Myriad Landscape
Arcane Signet
Solemn Simulacrum
Reliquary Tower
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
Bojuka Bog
Temple of the False God
Cabal Coffers
Gray Merchant of Asphodel
Ancient Tomb
Mind Stone
Diabolic Tutor
Thran Dynamo
Demonic Tutor
Skirge Familiar
Dread Return
Gray Merchant of Asphodel
Cabal Coffers
Crypt Ghast
Myriad Landscape
Cabal Stronghold
Diabolic Tutor
Hedron Archive
Phantasmagorian
Thran Dynamo
Unmask
Peat Bog
Hollow One
Whip of Erebos
199 Sol Ring
Swiftfoot Boots
Beast Within
Llanowar Elves
Cultivate
Rogue's Passage
Elvish Mystic
Rampant Growth
Fyndhorn Elves
Reclamation Sage
Lightning Greaves
Heroic Intervention
Myriad Landscape
Kodama's Reach
Arcane Signet
Llanowar Elves
Rancor
Primal Bellow
Elvish Mystic
Wild Beastmaster
Arbor Elf
Fyndhorn Elves
Blossoming Defense
Giant Growth
Blanchwood Armor
Snakeskin Veil
Kenrith's Transformation
Ranger's Guile
Aspect of Hydra
Season of Growth
220 Sol Ring
Arcane Signet
Myriad Landscape
Bojuka Bog
Mind Stone
Feed the Swarm
Gray Merchant of Asphodel
Swiftfoot Boots
Dark Ritual
Wayfarer's Bauble
Phyrexian Arena
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
Cabal Coffers
Sign in Blood
Animate Dead
Tymaret Calls the Dead
Doomwake Giant
Seal of Doom
Grim Guardian
The Eldest Reborn
Tormod, the Desecrator
Gray Merchant of Asphodel
Tymaret, Chosen from Death
Hateful Eidolon
Liliana's Mastery
Agent of Erebos
Dreadhorde Invasion
Endless Ranks of the Dead
Graf Harvest
Sinister Concoction
224 Sol Ring
Arcane Signet
Counterspell
Swiftfoot Boots
Brainstorm
Mystical Tutor
Reliquary Tower
Lightning Greaves
Mind Stone
Myriad Landscape
Thought Vessel
Mystic Sanctuary
Cyclonic Rift
Fellwar Stone
Negate
Mystical Tutor
Mana Severance
Counterspell
Thassa's Oracle
Brainstorm
Mystic Sanctuary
High Tide
Thousand-Year Elixir
Minamo, School at Water's Edge
Frantic Search
Laboratory Maniac
Essence Flux
Narset's Reversal
Dramatic Reversal
Ghostly Flicker
234 Sol Ring
Arcane Signet
Lightning Greaves
Dark Ritual
Reliquary Tower
Demonic Tutor
Swiftfoot Boots
Mana Crypt
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
Vampiric Tutor
Bojuka Bog
Opposition Agent
Cabal Coffers
Jeweled Lotus
Command Tower
Dark Ritual
Opposition Agent
Ad Nauseam
Ob Nixilis, Unshackled
Sickening Dreams
Cabal Coffers
Cabal Ritual
Demonic Tutor
Jeweled Lotus
Lotus Petal
Vampiric Tutor
Scheming Symmetry
Elixir of Immortality
Bubbling Muck
Crypt Ghast
234 Sol Ring
Arcane Signet
Counterspell
Reliquary Tower
Myriad Landscape
Mind Stone
Swiftfoot Boots
Rogue's Passage
Negate
Mystic Sanctuary
Rhystic Study
Arcane Denial
Brainstorm
Thought Vessel
Propaganda
Aqueous Form
Eel Umbra
Cartouche of Knowledge
Gadwick, the Wizened
Curiosity
Altar of the Pantheon
Invisibility
Curator's Ward
Frogify
Kasmina's Transmutation
Imprisoned in the Moon
Starlit Mantle
Tempest Djinn
Thassa's Rebuff
Auramancer's Guise
234 Sol Ring
Arcane Signet
Swords to Plowshares
Mind Stone
Myriad Landscape
Path to Exile
Generous Gift
Smothering Tithe
Commander's Sphere
Aven Mindcensor
Swiftfoot Boots
War Room
Lightning Greaves
Wayfarer's Bauble
Vanquisher's Banner
Soulcatchers' Aerie
Healer's Hawk
Wingmate Roc
Cartographer's Hawk
Soulcatcher
Aven Brigadier
Battlefield Raptor
Steel-Plume Marshal
Aven Mindcensor
Commander Eesha
Cloudchaser Kestrel
Battle Screech
Healer's Flock
Celestial Gatekeeper
Kangee's Lieutenant
236 Sol Ring
Cultivate
Beast Within
Arcane Signet
Llanowar Elves
Rogue's Passage
Rampant Growth
Reliquary Tower
Myriad Landscape
Kodama's Reach
Swiftfoot Boots
Heroic Intervention
Elvish Mystic
Fyndhorn Elves
Reclamation Sage
Evolution Sage
Inspiring Call
Karametra's Acolyte
Armorcraft Judge
Llanowar Elves
Ivy Lane Denizen
Rishkar, Peema Renegade
Llanowar Tribe
Beast Whisperer
Incubation Druid
Yorvo, Lord of Garenbrig
Elvish Mystic
Beast Within
Fertilid
Oran-Rief, the Vastwood

Kari Zev, Skyship Raider runs a large number of single-target burn spells, Sasaya, Orochi Ascendant reaches deep into the well of land tutors, Demonlord Belzenlok runs an unusually-high rate of cards with MV ≥ 4, etc., etc.

But these "average decks" aren't the ones you're likely to build if you're trying to adhere to a Hipness cap. You can play any commander this way: Atraxa as a -1/-1 Counter deck, Lathril with no Elves, any commander with a Hapax 99....

I do want to note that while ubiquity correlates with power level, the two are not synonymous. During your Rule Zero conversation, reporting your Hipster Quotient does more to describe your deckbuilding philosophy than your expected competitiveness. That said, sometimes it's just nice to see something new at the table. If WotC is going to print 1,992 new Commander-legal cards in a year, you might as well put some in your decks!


Thoughts? Questions? Critiques? Suggestions?

Let me hear them! Please tell me if you try the App, or if you run a pod with a Hipness cap: I want to hear how it works, both technically and at the table. In fact, I would love nothing more than for you to send me your screenshots at @mtg_ds on Twitter.

MtGDS (AKA Magic Data Science) is pretty new to the game, but is trying to understand it as best he can through data. He loves making graphs and finding new ways to measure things. You can read his non-Commander articles at http://mtgds.wordpress.com, and he's worth a follow on Twitter @MtG_DS.

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