Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Core Spellslinger

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #416
5decks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Lands
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Draconic Visitor
50%inclusion2 decks4 decks
21xlift
Kiora of Fire and Ashes
25%inclusion1 decks4 decks
33xlift
Curse-Marred Demon
25%inclusion1 decks4 decks
31xlift
Turbulent Crater
25%inclusion1 decks4 decks
2.8xlift
Creatures
Dragonspeaker Shaman
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
49xlift
Goldspan Dragon
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
16xlift
Smaug the Magnificent
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
29xlift
Desert Were-Worm
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
48xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
48xlift
Smaug, Wicked Worm
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
20xlift
Roaming Throne
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
3.5xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
20xlift
Swashbuckler Extraordinaire
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
24xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
33xlift
Blazing Firesinger
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
7.0xlift
Soul-Scar Mage
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Professional Face-Breaker
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.9xlift
Bronzeplate Boar
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Scourge of Valkas
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Nesting Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Boulderborn Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Hoarding Broodlord
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Firespitter Whelp
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.0xlift
Prosper, Tome-Bound
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.4xlift
Dark Confidant
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.3xlift
Angrath's Marauders
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Harmonic Prodigy
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Twinflame Tyrant
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.1xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Brash Taunter
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.9xlift
Gadrak, the Crown-Scourge
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Destructive Digger
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Crime Novelist
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Decadent Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Young Pyromancer
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.1xlift
Sarkhan, Dragon Ascendant
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Parapet Thrasher
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Stormbreath Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Bonehoard Dracosaur
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Scavenger Regent
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Solphim, Mayhem Dominus
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.8xlift
Grim Hireling
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Thundermane Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Éomer, Marshal of Rohan
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Tor Wauki the Younger
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Dragonmaster Outcast
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Shivan Devastator
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Shivan Branch-Burner
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Skarrgan Hellkite
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Guttersnipe
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.4xlift
Ojer Axonil, Deepest Might
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
3.5xlift
Instants
Big Score
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
1.5xlift
Chaos Warp
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Lightning Bolt
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Dark Ritual
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Rakdos Charm
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Pyretic Ritual
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
3.0xlift
Comet Storm
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
20xlift
Abrade
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Cut Propulsion
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
33xlift
Flashback
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.8xlift
Fire Covenant
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.6xlift
Stonesplitter Bolt
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Improvised Club
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Fiery Impulse
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Hazel's Nocturne
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Untimely Malfunction
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Return the Favor
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Imp's Mischief
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.3xlift
Desperate Ritual
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.0xlift
Heartless Act
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
10xlift
Deadly Dispute
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.6xlift
Slice from the Shadows
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Invoke Calamity
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Cabal Ritual
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.4xlift
Seething Song
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Volcanic Geyser
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Infernal Grasp
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.0xlift
Gut Shot
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.6xlift
Hungry Flames
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Red Elemental Blast
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.9xlift
Bombard
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Demand Answers
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Galvanic Blast
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Blazing Salvo
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Price of Progress
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
3.3xlift
Pyroblast
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.1xlift
Saw in Half
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Galvanic Discharge
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Lightning Strike
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.7xlift
Witchstalker Frenzy
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Spit Flame
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Wild Slash
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Bulk Up
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Self-Destruct
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Redirect Lightning
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.9xlift
Vivi's Persistence
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.0xlift
Cunning Maneuver
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Sear
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
End-Blaze Epiphany
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Pain 101
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Sorceries
Past in Flames
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
3.3xlift
Crux of Fate
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
16xlift
Molten Exhale
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Wrenn's Resolve
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
4.9xlift
Mana Geyser
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.2xlift
Impractical Joke
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
14xlift
Desolation of Smaug
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Dragon's Desire
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Blaze
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Chain Reaction
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.6xlift
Diabolic Tutor
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
3.8xlift
Strangle
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Crackle with Power
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
7.0xlift
Profane Tutor
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Isengard Unleashed
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Inspired Tinkering
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
5.4xlift
Torment of Hailfire
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
7.0xlift
Vandalblast
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.7xlift
Fear, Fire, Foes!
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.4xlift
Faithless Looting
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Mizzix's Mastery
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Fire of Orthanc
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Star of Extinction
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Zenith Festival
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Feed the Swarm
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Reckless Impulse
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
3.0xlift
Read the Bones
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.0xlift
You've Been Caught Stealing
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Blood Money
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Blasphemous Act
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Agate Assault
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Chain Lightning
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Rite of Flame
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
7.0xlift
Light Up the Stage
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Flame Slash
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Reckless Endeavor
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
10xlift
Volcanic Hammer
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Thundering Rebuke
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Zombify
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Flames of the Firebrand
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Strike It Rich
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.3xlift
Gravedig
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Beseech the Mirror
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Dragonstorm
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Grapeshot
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.1xlift
Storm's Wrath
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Lava Burst
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Mutinous Massacre
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
3.5xlift
Electro's Bolt
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Villainous Wrath
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Utility Artifacts
Pariah's Shield
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Long-Lost Lances
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Beamtown Beatstick
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Ruby Medallion
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Chimil, the Inner Sun
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Fiendlash
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.2xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Heirloom Epic
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Traveler's Amulet
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
8.1xlift
Diamond Pick-Axe
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Vedalken Orrery
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Mind's Eye
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Cranial Plating
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Navigation Orb
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Swiftfoot Boots
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.7xlift
Tome of Legends
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Adaptive Omnitool
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Hard-Won Jitte
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Coin of Mastery
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
The Ten Rings
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Cosmic Cube
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Orcrist, Goblin-cleaver
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
48xlift
Thrór's Map
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
46xlift
Enchantments
Fiery Emancipation
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Alchemist's Talent
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
33xlift
Pestilence
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
49xlift
Artist's Talent
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.7xlift
Phyrexian Arena
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
2.3xlift
Pain for All
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
20xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
16xlift
Fiery Inscription
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.6xlift
Descent into Avernus
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.6xlift
Arcane Bombardment
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.4xlift
Palace Siege
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Breaching Dragonstorm
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Gimli's Reckless Might
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Spiteful Visions
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.9xlift
Pyrohemia
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Dracogenesis
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Dragon Tempest
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Revel in Riches
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Black Market Connections
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.2xlift
There and Back Again
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Sticky Fingers
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Spiteful Banditry
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
The Legend of Roku
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Collective Inferno
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.0xlift
Burn, Burn, Tree and Fern
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
Utility Lands
Dragon-Cursed Halls
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
37xlift
Treasure Vault
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
16xlift
Mines of Moria
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
10xlift
Emergence Zone
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Inventors' Fair
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Rogue's Passage
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Baxter Building
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
16xlift
The Lonely Mountain
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Mana Artifacts
Sol Ring
100%inclusion5 decks5 decks
1.2xlift
Commander's Sphere
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
4.4xlift
Arcane Signet
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
0.7xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.7xlift
Rakdos Signet
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
0.7xlift
Tablet of Discovery
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.6xlift
Dragon's Hoard
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Thought Vessel
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.7xlift
Rakdos Locket
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
5.4xlift
Mox Opal
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Dragonstorm Globe
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Glittering Stockpile
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
7.0xlift
Exploding Barrel
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Arc Reactor
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Lands
Swamp
100%inclusion5 decks5 decks
1.0xlift
Mountain
100%inclusion5 decks5 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
80%inclusion4 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Foreboding Ruins
80%inclusion4 decks5 decks
1.6xlift
Dragonskull Summit
80%inclusion4 decks5 decks
1.2xlift
Smoldering Marsh
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Blood Crypt
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
1.8xlift
Blazemire Verge
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
2.7xlift
Tainted Peak
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Sulfurous Springs
60%inclusion3 decks5 decks
1.3xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.1xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
2.7xlift
Canyon Slough
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.7xlift
Exotic Orchard
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.2xlift
Graven Cairns
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Bloodfell Caves
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.9xlift
Haunted Ridge
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Blightstep Pathway
40%inclusion2 decks5 decks
2.6xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Fabled Passage
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.7xlift
Badlands
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
6.1xlift
Temple of the Dragon Queen
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Cliffgate
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Myriad Landscape
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.5xlift
Rakdos Guildgate
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.0xlift
Hidden Grotto
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
12xlift
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
49xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.4xlift
Temple of Malice
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.5xlift
Luxury Suite
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.8xlift
Thriving Bluff
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
3.8xlift
Mount Doom
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
2.1xlift
The Grey Havens
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
24xlift
Evolving Wilds
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
0.9xlift
Thriving Moor
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
4.4xlift
City of Brass
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
7.0xlift
Bloodstained Mire
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.3xlift
Dark Fortress
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
1.5xlift
Goblin-town
20%inclusion1 decks5 decks
11xlift
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