Smaug, Wicked Worm (Commander) - Exhibition

Smaug, Wicked Worm
Rank #745
7decks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Draconic Visitor
50%inclusion2 decks4 decks
23xlift
Craterclaw Colossus
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
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The Misty Mountains Cold
100%inclusion7 decks7 decks
25xlift
Smaug the Magnificent
71%inclusion5 decks7 decks
22xlift
Gnashing of Teeth
57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
23xlift
Smaug, the Great Calamity
57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
31xlift
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57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
13xlift
Troop of Ponies
57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
26xlift
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57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
18xlift
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43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
20xlift
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43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
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Hellkite Tyrant
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
13xlift
Dori, Bearer of Friends
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
30xlift
Gundabad Opportunist
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
13xlift
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
40xlift
Great Ugly-Looking Goblin
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
6.0xlift
Misty Mountains Raider
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
5.4xlift
Ravening Warg
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
29xlift
Long-Bodied Grey Dog
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
39xlift
Fearsome Goblin Pair
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
5.4xlift
Azog, Moria's Ruin
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
5.4xlift
Goldlust Triad
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
30xlift
Bothersome Noisemaker
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
6.0xlift
Decadent Dragon
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
15xlift
Bolg of the North
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
6.0xlift
Nighthowl Pursuer
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
40xlift
Desert Were-Worm
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
27xlift
The Master of Lake-town
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
13xlift
Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
40xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
13xlift
Ganax, Astral Hunter
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
Kalain, Reclusive Painter
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
20xlift
Goldspan Dragon
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Crime Novelist
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
10xlift
Weftstalker Ardent
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
11xlift
Mirkwood Bats
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
4.0xlift
Ruthless Technomancer
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
20xlift
Stony-Voiced Goblins
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
10xlift
Dáin Ironfoot
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
40xlift
Iron Hills Stalwart
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
39xlift
Xorn
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
13xlift
Dreaded Bat-Cloud
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
20xlift
Great Fierce Bee
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
13xlift
Óin the Brave
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
26xlift
Bombur, Gentle Dreamer
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
39xlift
Balin, Loremaster
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
40xlift
Goblin-town Flunkies
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Rhovanion Rampager
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
11xlift
Gollum, Silent Slinker
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
Patron of the Arts
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
11xlift
Oliphaunt
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Scourge of Valkas
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Rapacious Dragon
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Utvara Hellkite
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Minion of the Mighty
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Professional Face-Breaker
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.6xlift
Sauron, the Lidless Eye
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Instants
Thrill of Possibility
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
3.1xlift
Unexpected Windfall
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Rakdos Charm
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
1.6xlift
Big Score
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
3.1xlift
Demand Answers
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
5.2xlift
Bilbo's Deadly Slice
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
13xlift
Smaug's Fury
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
17xlift
Reverent Howl
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
13xlift
Deadly Dispute
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.4xlift
Fake Your Own Death
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Bolt Bend
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Pinecone Strike
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
11xlift
Fire Covenant
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Hero's Downfall
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.6xlift
Chaos Warp
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.5xlift
Bitter Downfall
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Untimely Malfunction
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.7xlift
Orcish Medicine
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Return the Favor
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.1xlift
Smite the Deathless
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Dark Ritual
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.8xlift
Soul Shatter
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Blazing Crescendo
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Seething Song
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.1xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.7xlift
Pyretic Ritual
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Costly Plunder
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Display of Power
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Reverberate
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Burst Lightning
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
6.6xlift
Cast into the Fire
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Bedevil
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.7xlift
Flare of Duplication
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Nasty End
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.8xlift
Abrade
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.8xlift
Bulk Up
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Reckless Ransacking
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
6.6xlift
Vision of Love
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Supper for Spiders
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
6.6xlift
Sorceries
Desolation of Smaug
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
15xlift
Crux of Fate
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
7.2xlift
Gathering of Darkness
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Rage into the Valley
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Tidings of War
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Stir Up Trouble
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
5.6xlift
Electroduplicate
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Crackle with Power
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Inspired Tinkering
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Vandalblast
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.4xlift
Visions of Ruin
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Fear, Fire, Foes!
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Seize the Spotlight
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Faithless Looting
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.7xlift
Crash Through
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Mordor Muster
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Feed the Swarm
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.6xlift
Reckless Impulse
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Foray of Orcs
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Brass's Bounty
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Blasphemous Act
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.5xlift
Glimpse the Impossible
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Hell to Pay
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Night's Whisper
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.3xlift
Exsanguinate
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.3xlift
Claim the Precious
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
The Torment of Gollum
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Molten Duplication
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Breaking of the Fellowship
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Reanimate
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.4xlift
Hit the Mother Lode
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Wrenn's Resolve
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Mana Geyser
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.8xlift
Corpse Explosion
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Too Greedily, Too Deep
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Strike It Rich
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Swarming of Moria
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Assault on Osgiliath
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Reckless Handling
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Improvised Weaponry
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Risky Research
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Cost of Brilliance
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Too Evil to Stay Dead
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Dragon's Desire
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Utility Artifacts
Orcrist, Goblin-cleaver
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
13xlift
Goblin Plate Mail
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
7.0xlift
Crude Bent Blade
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
11xlift
Ragged Short Spear
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
13xlift
Ruby Medallion
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
6.1xlift
Swiftfoot Boots
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.7xlift
Cranial Ram
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
10xlift
The Fire Crystal
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
6.6xlift
Thrór's Map
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
Well-Worn Spatula
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
40xlift
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14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.2xlift
Magmatic Galleon
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Inspiring Statuary
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Urza's Incubator
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Andúril, Narsil Reforged
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
8.0xlift
Jet Medallion
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Herald's Horn
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.7xlift
Lightning Greaves
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.9xlift
Conjurer's Closet
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Basilisk Collar
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.9xlift
Coin of Mastery
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
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14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
Sting, Bilbo's Sword
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
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14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Getaway Barrel
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Key to the Side-Door
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
The Black Arrow
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Enchantments
Burn, Burn, Tree and Fern
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
15xlift
Last Light of Durin's Day
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
40xlift
Shiny Impetus
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
6.1xlift
Dragon Tempest
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
There and Back Again
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
40xlift
Rain of Riches
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
13xlift
Sticky Fingers
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
20xlift
Spiteful Banditry
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
Down, Down to Goblin-town
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
5.3xlift
Along the Crooked Way
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Book of Mazarbul
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
6.6xlift
Furious Rise
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Alchemist's Talent
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.7xlift
March from the Black Gate
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.6xlift
Call of the Ring
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Guild Artisan
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Fable of the Mirror-Breaker
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Black Market Connections
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.1xlift
Phyrexian Arena
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.0xlift
Fires of Mount Doom
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Collective Inferno
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.5xlift
Utility Lands
Bojuka Bog
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.2xlift
Treasure Vault
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
11xlift
Mines of Moria
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
11xlift
Rogue's Passage
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.4xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
Vesuva
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
The Black Gate
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.0xlift
Barad-dûr
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.6xlift
Great Hall of the Citadel
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Temple of the False God
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.0xlift
Nesting Grounds
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Baxter Building
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Mana Artifacts
Arcane Signet
71%inclusion5 decks7 decks
1.3xlift
Sol Ring
71%inclusion5 decks7 decks
1.2xlift
Commander's Sphere
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.8xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.0xlift
Cursed Mirror
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
5.3xlift
Inherited Envelope
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Hedron Archive
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.0xlift
Heraldic Banner
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
Rakdos Signet
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.4xlift
Carnelian Orb of Dragonkind
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Dragon's Hoard
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Fellwar Stone
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.0xlift
Thought Vessel
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.3xlift
Gilded Lotus
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.0xlift
Worn Powerstone
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.5xlift
Mind Stone
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.9xlift
Mox Jasper
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
13xlift
Pyromancer's Goggles
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
10xlift
Arc Reactor
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Dependable Quinjet
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Giant's Boulder
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
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100%inclusion7 decks7 decks
1.0xlift
Mountain
100%inclusion7 decks7 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
86%inclusion6 decks7 decks
1.3xlift
Evolving Wilds
71%inclusion5 decks7 decks
2.7xlift
Smoldering Marsh
57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
1.1xlift
Dragonskull Summit
57%inclusion4 decks7 decks
1.2xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
1.4xlift
Exotic Orchard
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
2.4xlift
Rakdos Guildgate
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
2.8xlift
Path of Ancestry
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
2.4xlift
Goblin-town
43%inclusion3 decks7 decks
6.0xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.2xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.8xlift
Canyon Slough
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.4xlift
Foreboding Ruins
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
0.8xlift
Bloodfell Caves
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
0.9xlift
Temple of Malice
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
0.9xlift
Mount Doom
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
2.4xlift
Sulfurous Springs
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
1.0xlift
Dark Fortress
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
3.3xlift
Hobbit Hole
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
16xlift
Elven Passage
29%inclusion2 decks7 decks
27xlift
Myriad Landscape
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.9xlift
Maelstrom of the Spirit Dragon
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
20xlift
Graven Cairns
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.8xlift
Riveteers Overlook
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
2.7xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.2xlift
Rocky Tar Pit
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.0xlift
Maestros Theater
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
3.3xlift
Blazemire Verge
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.9xlift
Tainted Peak
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
0.5xlift
Geothermal Bog
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
1.5xlift
Tramway Station
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
4.4xlift
Meteor Crater
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
40xlift
Hell's Kitchen
14%inclusion1 decks7 decks
5.0xlift
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