Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Burn

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #438
315decks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Smaug the Magnificent
78%inclusion247 decks315 decks
7.8xlift
Smaug, Wicked Worm
72%inclusion211 decks294 decks
7.1xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
60%inclusion190 decks315 decks
9.1xlift
Dragon's Desire
41%inclusion128 decks315 decks
9.5xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
34%inclusion102 decks303 decks
6.8xlift
Top Cards
Blasphemous Act
96%inclusion301 decks315 decks
1.7xlift
Mayhem Devil
83%inclusion260 decks315 decks
3.1xlift
Mirkwood Bats
77%inclusion244 decks315 decks
4.8xlift
Goldspan Dragon
77%inclusion243 decks315 decks
5.5xlift
Self-Destruct
77%inclusion241 decks315 decks
11xlift
Cut Propulsion
75%inclusion237 decks315 decks
12xlift
Pain for All
75%inclusion235 decks315 decks
10xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
72%inclusion228 decks315 decks
5.3xlift
Dark Ritual
71%inclusion223 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Pestilence
67%inclusion210 decks315 decks
8.6xlift
High Lift Cards
Dizzying Gaze
8.3%inclusion26 decks315 decks
13xlift
Pariah's Shield
64%inclusion201 decks315 decks
12xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
63%inclusion198 decks315 decks
12xlift
Blazing Sunsteel
46%inclusion145 decks315 decks
12xlift
Simulacrum
12%inclusion39 decks315 decks
12xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
36%inclusion112 decks315 decks
11xlift
Expedited Inheritance
16%inclusion51 decks315 decks
11xlift
Fiendlash
24%inclusion76 decks315 decks
11xlift
Chain Lightning
60%inclusion189 decks315 decks
10xlift
Dragonspeaker Shaman
23%inclusion71 decks315 decks
10xlift
Creatures
Professional Face-Breaker
64%inclusion203 decks315 decks
3.6xlift
Weftstalker Ardent
63%inclusion198 decks315 decks
5.4xlift
Xorn
62%inclusion194 decks315 decks
5.2xlift
Hellkite Tyrant
60%inclusion189 decks315 decks
7.9xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
59%inclusion186 decks315 decks
5.7xlift
Academy Manufactor
56%inclusion177 decks315 decks
5.5xlift
Marionette Apprentice
53%inclusion167 decks315 decks
4.3xlift
Crime Novelist
45%inclusion141 decks315 decks
5.2xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
41%inclusion128 decks315 decks
6.5xlift
Ingenious Artillerist
40%inclusion126 decks315 decks
6.1xlift
Hexing Squelcher
39%inclusion122 decks315 decks
1.9xlift
Brash Taunter
36%inclusion112 decks315 decks
2.5xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
33%inclusion103 decks315 decks
5.8xlift
Ancient Copper Dragon
32%inclusion101 decks315 decks
5.8xlift
Disciple of the Vault
32%inclusion100 decks315 decks
5.4xlift
Knuckles the Echidna
30%inclusion93 decks315 decks
6.2xlift
Juri, Master of the Revue
27%inclusion85 decks315 decks
4.6xlift
Draconic Visitor
25%inclusion28 decks110 decks
7.7xlift
Rivaz of the Claw
25%inclusion79 decks315 decks
10xlift
Grim Hireling
23%inclusion71 decks315 decks
2.6xlift
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
18%inclusion56 decks315 decks
1.8xlift
Orcish Bowmasters
18%inclusion56 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Havoc Jester
17%inclusion52 decks315 decks
10xlift
Dragonlord's Servant
16%inclusion51 decks315 decks
10xlift
Terror of the Peaks
14%inclusion44 decks315 decks
3.4xlift
Decadent Dragon
14%inclusion43 decks315 decks
3.4xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
14%inclusion43 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Twinflame Tyrant
13%inclusion41 decks315 decks
1.5xlift
Mastermind Plum
13%inclusion40 decks315 decks
4.7xlift
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
12%inclusion38 decks315 decks
4.2xlift
Marionette Master
11%inclusion35 decks315 decks
2.2xlift
Goldlust Triad
11%inclusion34 decks315 decks
3.5xlift
Magda, the Hoardmaster
10%inclusion32 decks315 decks
3.5xlift
Generous Plunderer
10%inclusion32 decks315 decks
2.4xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
10%inclusion30 decks315 decks
1.7xlift
Barbed Servitor
8.9%inclusion28 decks315 decks
4.4xlift
Roaming Throne
8.6%inclusion27 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Atsushi, the Blazing Sky
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
3.3xlift
Shadow the Hedgehog
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
5.6xlift
Kalain, Reclusive Painter
7.6%inclusion24 decks315 decks
2.8xlift
Screaming Nemesis
7.6%inclusion24 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Smaug, the Great Calamity
7.2%inclusion21 decks292 decks
8.2xlift
Prosper, Tome-Bound
6.7%inclusion21 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Captain Lannery Storm
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
3.0xlift
Treasonous Ogre
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
2.3xlift
Stuffy Doll
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
3.3xlift
Imskir Iron-Eater
5.7%inclusion18 decks315 decks
5.2xlift
Hedron Detonator
5.7%inclusion18 decks315 decks
5.0xlift
Gadrak, the Crown-Scourge
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
4.2xlift
Ganax, Astral Hunter
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
5.5xlift
Instants
Lightning Bolt
63%inclusion199 decks315 decks
1.9xlift
Big Score
60%inclusion189 decks315 decks
2.2xlift
Deadly Dispute
53%inclusion167 decks315 decks
1.8xlift
Seething Song
50%inclusion158 decks315 decks
2.4xlift
Unexpected Windfall
45%inclusion143 decks315 decks
2.7xlift
Abrade
45%inclusion141 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Chaos Warp
43%inclusion136 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Deflecting Swat
41%inclusion128 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Bolt Bend
41%inclusion128 decks315 decks
2.3xlift
Fire Covenant
37%inclusion117 decks315 decks
3.8xlift
Redirect Lightning
32%inclusion101 decks315 decks
1.8xlift
Return the Favor
24%inclusion76 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Pyretic Ritual
23%inclusion72 decks315 decks
1.7xlift
Demand Answers
23%inclusion72 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Untimely Malfunction
22%inclusion70 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Vampiric Tutor
21%inclusion67 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Starstorm
20%inclusion63 decks315 decks
8.7xlift
Rakdos Charm
20%inclusion63 decks315 decks
0.4xlift
Deadly Rollick
20%inclusion62 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Terminate
20%inclusion62 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
The Last Agni Kai
18%inclusion57 decks315 decks
3.0xlift
Valakut Awakening
17%inclusion53 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Imp's Mischief
16%inclusion51 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
15%inclusion48 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Cabal Ritual
15%inclusion47 decks315 decks
1.5xlift
Red Elemental Blast
14%inclusion43 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Fell the Profane
13%inclusion41 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Withering Torment
12%inclusion39 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
Bedevil
11%inclusion36 decks315 decks
0.4xlift
Thrill of Possibility
11%inclusion34 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Desperate Ritual
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Pyroblast
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Galvanic Blast
8.9%inclusion28 decks315 decks
6.7xlift
Vision of Love
8.9%inclusion28 decks315 decks
3.4xlift
Soul's Fire
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
4.6xlift
Malakir Rebirth
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
0.4xlift
Stinging Study
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
5.4xlift
Comet Storm
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
2.5xlift
Flashback
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Arcbond
6.7%inclusion21 decks315 decks
4.5xlift
Fire Magic
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
1.5xlift
Stonesplitter Bolt
5.7%inclusion18 decks315 decks
9.2xlift
Lightning Strike
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Electrodominance
5.1%inclusion16 decks315 decks
1.7xlift
Flick a Coin
5.1%inclusion16 decks315 decks
2.3xlift
Sorceries
Star of Extinction
63%inclusion199 decks315 decks
9.2xlift
Chain Reaction
62%inclusion195 decks315 decks
6.9xlift
Exsanguinate
47%inclusion149 decks315 decks
2.7xlift
Jeska's Will
42%inclusion132 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Crackle with Power
41%inclusion130 decks315 decks
5.2xlift
Mana Geyser
36%inclusion114 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Night's Whisper
30%inclusion94 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Demonic Tutor
28%inclusion88 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Torment of Hailfire
26%inclusion83 decks315 decks
3.4xlift
Faithless Looting
23%inclusion72 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Reckless Endeavor
23%inclusion72 decks315 decks
7.5xlift
Feed the Swarm
22%inclusion70 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
Seize the Spoils
20%inclusion63 decks315 decks
2.0xlift
Desolation of Smaug
20%inclusion63 decks315 decks
8.2xlift
Vandalblast
18%inclusion57 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Flame Slash
16%inclusion49 decks315 decks
10xlift
Sign in Blood
14%inclusion43 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
Reanimate
12%inclusion38 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Gamble
11%inclusion35 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Read the Bones
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Diabolic Tutor
10%inclusion30 decks315 decks
1.9xlift
Beseech the Mirror
8.3%inclusion26 decks315 decks
1.9xlift
Shivan Meteor
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
10xlift
Blood Money
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
2.1xlift
Hell to Pay
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
3.4xlift
Geosurge
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
10xlift
Pirate's Pillage
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
2.0xlift
Rite of Flame
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Chandra's Ignition
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Brass's Bounty
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
2.0xlift
Wheel of Fortune
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Diabolic Intent
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Jaya's Immolating Inferno
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
2.3xlift
Strike It Rich
5.7%inclusion18 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Insatiable Avarice
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Grapeshot
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Inside Information
5.1%inclusion15 decks294 decks
3.3xlift
Utility Artifacts
Swiftfoot Boots
38%inclusion120 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Ruby Medallion
33%inclusion105 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
The One Ring
29%inclusion92 decks315 decks
3.2xlift
Requiem Monolith
28%inclusion88 decks315 decks
8.5xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
27%inclusion84 decks315 decks
4.5xlift
Idol of Oblivion
15%inclusion46 decks315 decks
3.6xlift
Jet Medallion
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
My Precious
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
3.2xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
9.2%inclusion29 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Lightning Greaves
9.2%inclusion29 decks315 decks
0.2xlift
Cranial Ram
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
5.7xlift
Dragonspark Reactor
7.3%inclusion23 decks315 decks
10xlift
Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor
7.3%inclusion23 decks315 decks
5.1xlift
Basilisk Collar
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
Cranial Plating
6.7%inclusion21 decks315 decks
4.6xlift
Wishclaw Talisman
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Coin of Mastery
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
4.1xlift
The Fire Crystal
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Shadowspear
5.1%inclusion16 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Enchantments
Pyrohemia
66%inclusion208 decks315 decks
7.8xlift
Revel in Riches
55%inclusion173 decks315 decks
6.1xlift
Black Market Connections
41%inclusion130 decks315 decks
1.8xlift
Alchemist's Talent
41%inclusion128 decks315 decks
6.1xlift
Rain of Riches
39%inclusion123 decks315 decks
5.3xlift
Spiteful Banditry
29%inclusion92 decks315 decks
6.2xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
23%inclusion72 decks310 decks
7.1xlift
Phyrexian Arena
23%inclusion72 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
There and Back Again
21%inclusion67 decks315 decks
7.0xlift
Descent into Avernus
19%inclusion60 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Fiery Emancipation
18%inclusion56 decks315 decks
1.6xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
17%inclusion53 decks315 decks
4.7xlift
City on Fire
10%inclusion30 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Last Laugh
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
8.2xlift
Underworld Breach
7.3%inclusion23 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Curse of Opulence
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Last Light of Durin's Day
5.2%inclusion16 decks308 decks
8.6xlift
Necropotence
5.1%inclusion16 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Utility Lands
Bojuka Bog
44%inclusion138 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Treasure Vault
37%inclusion115 decks315 decks
4.9xlift
Mines of Moria
28%inclusion88 decks315 decks
4.6xlift
Reliquary Tower
24%inclusion75 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
24%inclusion75 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Rogue's Passage
20%inclusion63 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Ancient Tomb
20%inclusion62 decks315 decks
2.1xlift
Command Beacon
16%inclusion50 decks315 decks
2.3xlift
Great Furnace
15%inclusion48 decks315 decks
2.9xlift
Vault of Whispers
12%inclusion39 decks315 decks
2.8xlift
Urza's Saga
12%inclusion39 decks315 decks
2.2xlift
Witch's Clinic
11%inclusion34 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Arena of Glory
10%inclusion32 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Cabal Coffers
8.9%inclusion28 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Temple of the False God
7.6%inclusion24 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
War Room
6.7%inclusion21 decks315 decks
2.0xlift
Valakut, the Molten Pinnacle
5.7%inclusion18 decks315 decks
3.9xlift
Spinerock Knoll
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
0.4xlift
Inventors' Fair
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
3.7xlift
Takenuma, Abandoned Mire
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Mana Artifacts
Sol Ring
96%inclusion303 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Arcane Signet
88%inclusion278 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
60%inclusion188 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Rakdos Signet
46%inclusion144 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Fellwar Stone
33%inclusion104 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Thought Vessel
18%inclusion58 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Mind Stone
16%inclusion49 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Thran Dynamo
13%inclusion42 decks315 decks
3.5xlift
Mana Vault
10%inclusion33 decks315 decks
2.5xlift
Lotus Petal
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Exploding Barrel
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
11xlift
Chrome Mox
9.2%inclusion29 decks315 decks
1.9xlift
Dragon's Hoard
8.9%inclusion28 decks315 decks
7.4xlift
Mox Opal
8.6%inclusion27 decks315 decks
2.5xlift
Cursed Mirror
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Liquimetal Torque
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
1.7xlift
Glittering Stockpile
6.3%inclusion20 decks315 decks
2.6xlift
Commander's Sphere
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Lands
Mountain
99%inclusion311 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Swamp
98%inclusion308 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
90%inclusion282 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Dragonskull Summit
77%inclusion244 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Smoldering Marsh
72%inclusion228 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Blood Crypt
66%inclusion207 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Sulfurous Springs
57%inclusion180 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Luxury Suite
56%inclusion175 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Haunted Ridge
50%inclusion157 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Foreboding Ruins
47%inclusion149 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Blazemire Verge
47%inclusion148 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Bloodstained Mire
44%inclusion139 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Tainted Peak
40%inclusion127 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Graven Cairns
37%inclusion115 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Dark Fortress
30%inclusion93 decks315 decks
1.8xlift
Raucous Theater
29%inclusion91 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Exotic Orchard
29%inclusion90 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
Blightstep Pathway
26%inclusion82 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Mount Doom
26%inclusion81 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
25%inclusion79 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
19%inclusion60 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Temple of Malice
17%inclusion55 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Cavern of Souls
17%inclusion54 decks315 decks
2.9xlift
Valakut Awakening
17%inclusion53 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
17%inclusion52 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Badlands
16%inclusion49 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Fabled Passage
15%inclusion48 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Path of Ancestry
15%inclusion46 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Canyon Slough
14%inclusion44 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Fell the Profane
13%inclusion41 decks315 decks
0.8xlift
Evolving Wilds
11%inclusion34 decks315 decks
0.6xlift
Reflecting Pool
10%inclusion31 decks315 decks
2.2xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
8.6%inclusion27 decks315 decks
0.7xlift
Malakir Rebirth
7.9%inclusion25 decks315 decks
0.4xlift
Arid Mesa
7.6%inclusion24 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Scalding Tarn
7.6%inclusion24 decks315 decks
1.2xlift
Bloodfell Caves
7.3%inclusion23 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
Gemstone Caverns
7.3%inclusion23 decks315 decks
1.8xlift
City of Brass
7.3%inclusion23 decks315 decks
1.1xlift
Wooded Foothills
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Mana Confluence
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
1.3xlift
Polluted Delta
7.0%inclusion22 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
6.0%inclusion19 decks315 decks
1.4xlift
Myriad Landscape
5.7%inclusion18 decks315 decks
0.5xlift
Verdant Catacombs
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
1.0xlift
Marsh Flats
5.4%inclusion17 decks315 decks
0.9xlift
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