Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Optimized Burn

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #436
66decks
As CommanderAs CardAverage DeckDecks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Smaug the Magnificent
79%inclusion52 decks66 decks
5.1xlift
Smaug, Wicked Worm
62%inclusion40 decks65 decks
5.3xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
56%inclusion37 decks66 decks
5.3xlift
Dragon's Desire
41%inclusion27 decks66 decks
5.1xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
25%inclusion16 decks65 decks
5.3xlift
Top Cards
Blasphemous Act
98%inclusion65 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Mayhem Devil
91%inclusion60 decks66 decks
2.8xlift
Cut Propulsion
88%inclusion58 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Chain Lightning
82%inclusion54 decks66 decks
6.1xlift
Self-Destruct
82%inclusion54 decks66 decks
6.4xlift
Pyrohemia
82%inclusion54 decks66 decks
4.9xlift
Pain for All
80%inclusion53 decks66 decks
5.7xlift
Pestilence
79%inclusion52 decks66 decks
5.3xlift
Goldspan Dragon
79%inclusion52 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
77%inclusion51 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
High Lift Cards
Cranial Ram
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Geosurge
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Dragonspark Reactor
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Dizzying Gaze
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Flame Slash
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Simulacrum
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Pariah's Shield
65%inclusion43 decks66 decks
6.6xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
67%inclusion44 decks66 decks
6.5xlift
Smaug, the Great Calamity
9.4%inclusion6 decks64 decks
6.4xlift
Star of Extinction
73%inclusion48 decks66 decks
6.3xlift
Creatures
Mirkwood Bats
77%inclusion51 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Professional Face-Breaker
65%inclusion43 decks66 decks
3.0xlift
Weftstalker Ardent
65%inclusion43 decks66 decks
4.3xlift
Xorn
64%inclusion42 decks66 decks
4.1xlift
Hellkite Tyrant
62%inclusion41 decks66 decks
5.6xlift
Academy Manufactor
59%inclusion39 decks66 decks
4.6xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
56%inclusion37 decks66 decks
4.9xlift
Marionette Apprentice
52%inclusion34 decks66 decks
3.5xlift
Hexing Squelcher
52%inclusion34 decks66 decks
1.3xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
45%inclusion30 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Crime Novelist
41%inclusion27 decks66 decks
4.0xlift
Brash Taunter
39%inclusion26 decks66 decks
2.6xlift
Disciple of the Vault
39%inclusion26 decks66 decks
4.4xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
38%inclusion25 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
36%inclusion24 decks66 decks
5.8xlift
Knuckles the Echidna
35%inclusion23 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Ancient Copper Dragon
33%inclusion22 decks66 decks
3.5xlift
Ingenious Artillerist
32%inclusion21 decks66 decks
4.7xlift
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
27%inclusion18 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Orcish Bowmasters
26%inclusion17 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Rivaz of the Claw
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
6.0xlift
Grim Hireling
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
2.3xlift
Juri, Master of the Revue
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
5.1xlift
Havoc Jester
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
5.8xlift
Dragonspeaker Shaman
17%inclusion11 decks66 decks
6.2xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Terror of the Peaks
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
2.3xlift
Draconic Visitor
14%inclusion3 decks22 decks
4.6xlift
Goldlust Triad
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
3.0xlift
Barbed Servitor
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
5.4xlift
Magda, the Hoardmaster
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
5.3xlift
Treasonous Ogre
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.9xlift
Twinflame Tyrant
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
4.1xlift
Generous Plunderer
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
2.4xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.4xlift
Dragonlord's Servant
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
5.8xlift
Roaming Throne
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Mastermind Plum
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
3.8xlift
Marionette Master
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
2.0xlift
Screaming Nemesis
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Walking Ballista
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Evereth, Viceroy of Plunder
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
5.4xlift
Decadent Dragon
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
3.0xlift
Ganax, Astral Hunter
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
4.5xlift
Instants
Dark Ritual
76%inclusion50 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Lightning Bolt
67%inclusion44 decks66 decks
1.8xlift
Deadly Dispute
58%inclusion38 decks66 decks
2.2xlift
Big Score
58%inclusion38 decks66 decks
2.2xlift
Seething Song
56%inclusion37 decks66 decks
1.5xlift
Bolt Bend
56%inclusion37 decks66 decks
1.8xlift
Redirect Lightning
53%inclusion35 decks66 decks
1.7xlift
Deflecting Swat
48%inclusion32 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Abrade
45%inclusion30 decks66 decks
2.0xlift
Chaos Warp
44%inclusion29 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Vampiric Tutor
44%inclusion29 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Fire Covenant
42%inclusion28 decks66 decks
3.0xlift
Unexpected Windfall
39%inclusion26 decks66 decks
2.1xlift
Deadly Rollick
30%inclusion20 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Rakdos Charm
27%inclusion18 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Pyretic Ritual
27%inclusion18 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
24%inclusion16 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Red Elemental Blast
24%inclusion16 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Demand Answers
24%inclusion16 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Return the Favor
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Cabal Ritual
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Untimely Malfunction
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Imp's Mischief
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Terminate
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
The Last Agni Kai
20%inclusion13 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Starstorm
17%inclusion11 decks66 decks
5.0xlift
Pyroblast
15%inclusion10 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Valakut Awakening
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Flashback
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Thrill of Possibility
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Desperate Ritual
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Malakir Rebirth
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.4xlift
Withering Torment
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.4xlift
Fell the Profane
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.5xlift
Stinging Study
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Vision of Love
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
2.8xlift
Bedevil
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.3xlift
Choreographed Sparks
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
3.0xlift
Multiply by Zero
5.0%inclusion1 decks20 decks
3.2xlift
Sorceries
Chain Reaction
67%inclusion44 decks66 decks
5.6xlift
Jeska's Will
61%inclusion40 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Exsanguinate
61%inclusion40 decks66 decks
2.3xlift
Crackle with Power
58%inclusion38 decks66 decks
3.6xlift
Demonic Tutor
44%inclusion29 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Mana Geyser
42%inclusion28 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Night's Whisper
35%inclusion23 decks66 decks
1.3xlift
Torment of Hailfire
32%inclusion21 decks66 decks
2.0xlift
Vandalblast
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Faithless Looting
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Seize the Spoils
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
2.5xlift
Sign in Blood
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Gamble
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Reckless Endeavor
17%inclusion11 decks66 decks
5.7xlift
Desolation of Smaug
17%inclusion11 decks66 decks
5.0xlift
Feed the Swarm
15%inclusion10 decks66 decks
0.4xlift
Reanimate
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
0.4xlift
Wheel of Fortune
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Beseech the Mirror
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
1.5xlift
Diabolic Intent
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Insatiable Avarice
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Diabolic Tutor
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
1.5xlift
Imperial Seal
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Read the Bones
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Rite of Flame
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Jaya's Immolating Inferno
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
1.7xlift
Hell to Pay
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Rile
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
3.9xlift
Cut // Ribbons
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
2.1xlift
Fireball
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
3.9xlift
Strike It Rich
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Grim Tutor
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Grapeshot
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.5xlift
Chandra's Ignition
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Utility Artifacts
Blazing Sunsteel
64%inclusion42 decks66 decks
6.2xlift
Swiftfoot Boots
41%inclusion27 decks66 decks
1.3xlift
Ruby Medallion
36%inclusion24 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
The One Ring
35%inclusion23 decks66 decks
1.5xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
27%inclusion18 decks66 decks
3.4xlift
Fiendlash
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
5.6xlift
Requiem Monolith
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
6.0xlift
Jet Medallion
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Lightning Greaves
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.2xlift
Bolas's Citadel
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.3xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Cranial Plating
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
5.4xlift
Wishclaw Talisman
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Shadowspear
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
My Precious
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
3.4xlift
Enchantments
Revel in Riches
64%inclusion42 decks66 decks
4.4xlift
Black Market Connections
50%inclusion33 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Alchemist's Talent
45%inclusion30 decks66 decks
4.7xlift
Rain of Riches
38%inclusion25 decks66 decks
4.7xlift
Spiteful Banditry
32%inclusion21 decks66 decks
4.6xlift
Descent into Avernus
24%inclusion16 decks66 decks
1.5xlift
Expedited Inheritance
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
5.8xlift
Fiery Emancipation
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Phyrexian Arena
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
There and Back Again
15%inclusion10 decks66 decks
4.5xlift
City on Fire
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Underworld Breach
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
0.5xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
5.9xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
4.5xlift
Necropotence
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.5xlift
Curse of Opulence
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
1.7xlift
Last Laugh
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
5.4xlift
Utility Lands
Bojuka Bog
42%inclusion28 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Treasure Vault
32%inclusion21 decks66 decks
4.2xlift
Ancient Tomb
30%inclusion20 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
29%inclusion19 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Reliquary Tower
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Rogue's Passage
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Urza's Saga
15%inclusion10 decks66 decks
1.3xlift
Mines of Moria
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
2.7xlift
Cabal Coffers
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Command Beacon
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
1.3xlift
Great Furnace
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
2.0xlift
Vault of Whispers
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
2.0xlift
Arena of Glory
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Valakut, the Molten Pinnacle
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
2.5xlift
Nykthos, Shrine to Nyx
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
1.7xlift
Mana Artifacts
Sol Ring
94%inclusion62 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Arcane Signet
92%inclusion61 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
62%inclusion41 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Rakdos Signet
55%inclusion36 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Fellwar Stone
32%inclusion21 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Lotus Petal
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Mana Vault
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
1.5xlift
Thought Vessel
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Chrome Mox
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Mind Stone
15%inclusion10 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Mox Opal
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Thran Dynamo
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
2.4xlift
Grim Monolith
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
1.8xlift
Cursed Mirror
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Dragon's Hoard
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
3.4xlift
Mox Diamond
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Exploding Barrel
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
6.8xlift
Mox Amber
6.1%inclusion4 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Lands
Swamp
100%inclusion66 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Mountain
100%inclusion66 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
94%inclusion62 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Dragonskull Summit
73%inclusion48 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Blood Crypt
71%inclusion47 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Smoldering Marsh
68%inclusion45 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Sulfurous Springs
62%inclusion41 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Luxury Suite
61%inclusion40 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Blazemire Verge
55%inclusion36 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Bloodstained Mire
53%inclusion35 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Haunted Ridge
52%inclusion34 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Foreboding Ruins
47%inclusion31 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Tainted Peak
42%inclusion28 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Graven Cairns
36%inclusion24 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Blightstep Pathway
36%inclusion24 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Exotic Orchard
33%inclusion22 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Raucous Theater
30%inclusion20 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Mount Doom
26%inclusion17 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Dark Fortress
26%inclusion17 decks66 decks
1.6xlift
Cavern of Souls
23%inclusion15 decks66 decks
2.0xlift
Badlands
21%inclusion14 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Temple of Malice
20%inclusion13 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
18%inclusion12 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
17%inclusion11 decks66 decks
0.6xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
15%inclusion10 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Path of Ancestry
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Scalding Tarn
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Polluted Delta
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
1.0xlift
Valakut Awakening
14%inclusion9 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Evolving Wilds
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
1.3xlift
Arid Mesa
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Mana Confluence
12%inclusion8 decks66 decks
1.2xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Wooded Foothills
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
Reflecting Pool
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
11%inclusion7 decks66 decks
1.4xlift
Turbulent Crater
10%inclusion2 decks20 decks
1.8xlift
Fabled Passage
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Canyon Slough
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.8xlift
Verdant Catacombs
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Malakir Rebirth
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.4xlift
Marsh Flats
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
City of Brass
9.1%inclusion6 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Fell the Profane
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.5xlift
Myriad Landscape
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.9xlift
Gemstone Caverns
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
0.7xlift
Geothermal Bog
7.6%inclusion5 decks66 decks
1.1xlift
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